中國道路

內(nèi)容概要

　　《中國道路--中國經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)家的思考與探索》就是以《中國經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)人》2010年所發(fā)表的文章為主體，按照若干重要主題進(jìn)行精選，而編輯成書的。可以說，《中國道路--中國經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)家的思考與探索》代表了中國頂級(jí)經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)家近年來對(duì)中國經(jīng)濟(jì)問題的重要研究成果和主要觀點(diǎn)，從多角度透視了中國經(jīng)濟(jì)的現(xiàn)狀與發(fā)展趨勢(shì)。這些經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)家有的在中國最高學(xué)術(shù)研究機(jī)構(gòu)和政策咨詢機(jī)構(gòu)工作，有的在相關(guān)部門工作，也有的在高校工作。因此，《中國道路--中國經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)家的思考與探索》的內(nèi)容在很大程度上反映了中國主要的經(jīng)濟(jì)研究機(jī)構(gòu)、政策咨詢機(jī)構(gòu)、政府政策研究部門和高等院校在中國經(jīng)濟(jì)研究上所關(guān)注的主要問題和所進(jìn)行的努力方向。

書籍目錄

第一篇 宏觀經(jīng)濟(jì)運(yùn)行與調(diào)控
　第1章 新中國經(jīng)濟(jì)增長60年曲線的回顧與展望——兼論新一輪經(jīng)濟(jì)周期
　第2章 大國雙引擎增長模式
　第3章 國際發(fā)展格局中的中國模式
　第4章 宏觀政策有效性條件、運(yùn)行機(jī)制、效果和復(fù)蘇后的抉擇
　第5章 宏觀調(diào)控目標(biāo)的“十一五”分析與“十二五”展望
第二篇 工業(yè)化與城市化
　第6章 工業(yè)化進(jìn)程與財(cái)政收支結(jié)構(gòu)的變化
　第7章 國際金融危機(jī)下中國產(chǎn)業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的思考
　第8章 探尋吸引外商投資的新增長點(diǎn)
　第9章 新中國成立60年農(nóng)村制度變遷及其前景判斷
　第10章 農(nóng)民工市民化對(duì)擴(kuò)大內(nèi)需和經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的影響
第三篇 財(cái)貿(mào)與金融
　第11章 六十年來的中國財(cái)政發(fā)展
　第12章 人民幣國際化：贊同還是反對(duì)
　第13章 中美儲(chǔ)蓄率比較：從核算口徑到經(jīng)濟(jì)含義
　第14章 提高市場(chǎng)化程度是解決中美雙邊貨物貿(mào)易失衡的關(guān)鍵
　第15章 地方政府間策略互動(dòng)行為、財(cái)政支出競爭與地區(qū)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長
第四篇 社會(huì)保障與就業(yè)
　第16章 當(dāng)前中國就業(yè)領(lǐng)域的主要矛盾及其對(duì)策
　第17章 勞動(dòng)參與率與勞動(dòng)力增長：1982—2050
　第18章 中國新型養(yǎng)老制度的現(xiàn)狀及問題
　第19章 近年來農(nóng)民工的經(jīng)濟(jì)狀況和社會(huì)態(tài)度
　第20章 中國下一個(gè)消費(fèi)巨人：農(nóng)民工的市民化
第五篇 國際比較
　第21章 金磚四國發(fā)展模式比較
　第22章 科學(xué)認(rèn)識(shí)中印經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展比較
　第23章 中國與印度國際競爭力的比較與解釋
　第24章 三十年改革與中俄轉(zhuǎn)軌路徑比較
　第25章 中俄兩國經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展模式比較

章節(jié)摘錄

　　Salient characteristics of industrial clevelopment in the modern world include： development oftraditional industries based on fossil fuels like oil has peaked; development of high-tech industriesexemplified by electronic information technology is at the prime stage; and development of modernservices represented by financial services has entered an expansion period. The three industries thatredefine the modern economic landscape-the traditional industry （ mainly the industrial sector） ，the high-tech industry （including the industrial and services sectors） and the financial services in-dustry-have become the three pillars of the econoomy. Each of these industries occupies a pivotal po-sition and penetrates or relies on the other. When the global financial crisis broke out， the three in-dustries faced some deep-rooted contradictions：　　The traditional industry faced increasingly severe resource and environmental constraints. In theface of cost pressures and because of the lack of a flexible mechanism， the traditional industry wassubsequendy transferred from developed countries into developing countries. In the high-tech indus-try ，　investors were inclined to make riskier short-term investments because of a lack of confidence inlong-term investments due to the absence of an effective business model protecting against the " crea-tive destruction" of technological innovation， even though developed countries possessed technolog-ical advantages. With a high proliferative capacity， the financial services industry expanded rapidlythrough high leverage Lo create a disproportionate expansion in the virtual economy， thereby exacer-bating the systemic risks of the financial system.　　　There were substantial obstacles in front of the three mechanisms underpinning irulustrial devel-opment worldwide： 1） The coexistence of inadequate innovation in some areas and excessive inno-vat.ion in other areas arose， partly from a lack of impetus for industrial innovation because of itsspillover effects and high risks and part.ly because of innovators' ability to transfer the risk of failure （ which may lead to excessive innovation in certain areas）. Thus， the prospects for breakthrough in-novation in core industrial technologies remained unclear. Meanwhile， enormous investment re- sources were absorbed and increasingly high risks built up in the virt.ual economy; 2） Firms?。?par-ticularly super-large firms） cost control capabilities were in decline but their earning power or profit-ability was heavily dependent on capital operations （ mergers， acquisitions， spin-offs， reorgani- zations and securitizations） in the virtual financial economy since the institutional mechanism lackedflexibility. Whenever there is a change in the market environment， the entire economic system might be exposed to serious systemic risks; 3） The traditional and high-tech industries' market penetrationcapabilities lacked adaptability and scalability， making it difficult to cope with the substantial change /n the market demand structure and social （ residential） wealth structure. This was reflected in traditional and high-tech firms' lackluster sales performances and their increasing dependence oncredit expansion.　　……

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